The YPFP Wire - Sept 2008
Please view the September issue of The YPFP Wire
Highlights of this issue include:
- YPFP's new partnership with Next America, a CSIS initiative to engage young people on the foreign policy issues concerning the next administration
- The experience of three YPFP members sponsored by the British Embassy to attend the Atlantic Youth Forum in London
- The launch and progress of YPFP's newest branch in Brussels
- The Western Europe Discussion Group's conversation about rebuilding Afghanistan
- A conversation with Michael Sellman, a member of the YPFP Board of Directors and the New York Steering Committee, about YPFP New York's growth and current period of transition
- Exciting developments in the Future Professionals Program and YPFP in the Classroom
- A view of YPFP.org 2.0, and more!
The Wire also welcomes several new staff members, whose work in this issue suggests The Wire will continue to develop as a means of communicating YPFP's exciting programs and initiatives to our members. Nicole Casey reports from YPFP's newest branch as the Brussels Correspondent, Puja Deverkonda acts as YPFP's Global Correspondent from her location in Berlin, and Christine Shepherd and Paul Shinkman serve as Staff Writers in Washington. Contributing to The Wire's new look, Alexandra Mahler-Haug provides her layout and graphic design expertise.
Other new additions to the Communications Team include Jennifer Vasquez, Associate Director for Media Relations in Washington, Tiffany Shorter, Associate Director for Media Relations in New York, and Jessica Goldings, Blog Editor.
Georgia: A New Big Chill with Russia?
Georgian relations with Russia have been tense over the years, particularly with Moscow's support for breakaway regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Events boiled over in July 2008, leading to open hostilities between the two countries. Rapid Russian recognition of South Ossetian and Abkhaz independence, coupled with military support for the separatists, strained European relations with Russia and have left the United States and NATO struggling to find an appropriate response. What strategic goals underpinned Russian use of force in Georgia? How will this affect stability in the Caucasus and Black Sea regions? Will the incursion impact the NATO membership bids of Ukraine, Georgia, and other countries? How should the United States and NATO respond? To discuss these issues and more, please join Stephen Flanagan, Senior Vice President and Director of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
To attend, please register by emailing events@ypfp.org with your name and affiliation.
Stephen Flanagan
Stephen Flanagan is senior vice president and director of the International Security Program at CSIS, where he holds the Henry A. Kissinger Chair in National Security Policy. Before joining CSIS, he served as director of the Institute for National Strategic Studies and vice president for research at the National Defense University from January 2001 through May 2007. He held several senior positions in government between 1989 and 1999, including special assistant to the president and senior director for Central and Eastern Europe, National Security Council Staff; associate director and member of the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff; and national intelligence officer for Europe. Earlier in his career, he was a professional staff member of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (1978–1983).
Flanagan has also held several academic and research positions, including senior fellow at the Institute for National Strategic Studies; faculty member at the National War College, NDU; and executive director, Center for Science and International Affairs and faculty member at Harvard’s Kennedy School; and international affairs fellow, Council on Foreign Relations.
He has published numerous books and articles on international security affairs and is coauthor of Challenges of the Global Century (2001), and coeditor of The PLA and China in Transition (2003) and Strategic Challenges: America’s Global Security Agenda (summer 2007). He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and the International Institute for Strategic Studies and serves on the editorial boards of the journals Joint Force Quarterly, International Security, and Politique Americaine.
Flanagan is a recipient of the State Department’s Superior and Meritorious Service Awards, the CJCS Distinguished Civilian Service Award, as well as decorations from the presidents of Poland and Romania. He earned his B.A. in political science from Columbia University in 1973 and his Ph.D. in international relations from the Fletcher School at Tufts University in 1979.
Syrian-Iranian Ties Not Easily Shaken
Some analysts believe Syria would be willing to distance itself from Iran in favor of a peace treaty with Israel. Syria and Iran have a history of close cooperation and their strategic relationship cannot be easily compromised.
There is an assumption that Syria would distance itself from Iran in favor of a peace treaty with Israel and normalized relations with the United States. Syria’s strategic relationship with Iran began in 1979 and both countries sought friendship as a deterrent from a mutual Iraqi threat. Iraq rivaled Syria as the true inheritor of Ba’thism and Arabism. Ethnic, religious and territorial disputes between Iran and Iraq prompted the former to seek an alliance with Syria.
"U.S. plan to fight drugs in Mexico bound to falter without changes."
On June 30, President Bush signed into law an initiative called Plan Merida, a $465 million program designed to help Mexico deal with the unchecked drug trafficking and violence that have recently turned much of the U.S.-Mexican border into a war zone. The initiative is the most recent chapter in the long history of attempts to regulate activity along America's southern frontier. It is bold and ambitious - and it probably won't work.
Plan Merida dwarfs previous U.S. counter-narcotics assistance to Mexico, and the Bush administration has touted the aid package as a major step forward in the fight against the drug trade. As currently designed, however, Plan Merida stands little chance of producing meaningful long-term results. Why? Because at its core, Plan Merida represents the same flawed ideas that have long bedeviled U.S. drug policy. If not modified substantially, this program will go down as simply another failed offensive in the war on drugs.
Israel Need Not Fear Turkey's Islamist Government
Analysts are concerned that recent Islamist trends in Ankara could threaten the long-standing amicable relations between Israel and Turkey. These fears were highlighted by legislation passed in Turkey on Feb. 9, which rescinded a law in the constitution banning the wearing of a traditional Islamic headscarf. However, in June Turkey's high court overturned this ruling, claiming it violated separation of religion and state. Turkey is governed by the Justice and Development Party (AKP), whereby Recep Tayyip Erdogan is the prime minister and Abdullah Gul is the president. Erdogan and Gul share pro-Islamist beliefs that clash with the secular nature of the majority of Turkey's political and military establishment.
Georgian War Could Revitalize Chances for European Missile Defense Sites
The looming debate in Congress over building U.S. missiles defense sites in eastern Europe could be significantly altered in the wake of Russia’s war with neighboring Georgia.
The Bush administration is moving quickly to cement agreements with Poland and the Czech Republic in a rush to break ground on interceptor and radar sites in those two countries before leaving office. A senior State Department official met with Polish leaders Wednesday amid reports of a breakthrough in the negotiations.
But Democrats in Congress have stymied these efforts by using their legislative powers to postpone groundbreaking on the sites.
Ensuring U.S. Access to the International Space Station
In his highly publicized July 24 speech in Berlin, presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama struck a conciliatory chord in saying, “we must reject the Cold War mindset of the past and resolve to work with Russia when we can.” A few days later, Russia’s envoy to NATO, Dmitri Rogozin, raised the idea of a new security framework for Eurasia that would include the United States and Russia, as well as China and India. Skeptics’ views that this might be a ploy to undermine NATO were significantly reinforced on August 11, when Russia launched a punitive expedition against Georgia.
Russia invaded Georgia to teach the West a lesson
EUOBSERVER / COMMENT - Russia invaded Georgia to teach the West three lessons. Lesson one is that no matter how democratic, enthusiastically pro-American and EU-aspiring a country, if Moscow considers it to be in its sphere of influence, it will not be allowed to shape its own destiny. This extends to Ukraine and its ideas of joining NATO, energy-rich and Western-leaning Azerbaijan, as well as the strategically important countries of the Caspian and Central Asia, north of Afghanistan. Lesson two is that no matter how much the US and its European allies attempt to increase their energy security by seeking new routes to Caspian oil and gas resources not controlled by Russia or Iran, Moscow will do its utmost, even kill thousands in a war, to block Western access.
Russia's war for oil supplies
A regional bully with a bloated military and aspirations to great-power status just invaded a small neighbor to steal its oil. In the process, it has blocked key energy exports to the Western world, dismissed global calls for restraint and flouted international law. As a pretext for invasion, it has questioned its small neighbor’s sovereignty and cooked up cockamamie claims to excuse naked and preplanned aggression. Unlike Iraq in 1990, however, Russia in 2008 has veto power on the UN Security Council. And, unlike Kuwait, Georgia does not have natural resources of its own, but serves as a strategic conduit for Caspian crude on its way to Europe and the broader West.
Palestinian Disunity has Chilling Effect on the Peace Process
Among the many conflicts in the Middle East — Syria's attempted destabilization of Lebanon, Iranian ambitions to build a nuclear program, and the war in Iraq — the Israeli-Palestinian conflict remains the most emotionally charged issue. To this day, Muslims and Arabs continue to perceive Israel's very existence as illegitimate: an entity serving the interests of the imperialist and colonialist West. Since 1947, many nations have been born, and some members of the international community continue to hold Israel to a higher moral standard than any other country. Israel is expected to negotiate with the Palestinians to end the conflict and help establish a viable Palestinian state.








